Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.664235 16.809517 19.176389 21.984261 25.228247 28.862873 33.250343
2025-10-26 11.406161 14.096223 17.305390 21.426354 26.593201 32.877161 41.130259
2025-11-02 9.579980 12.487000 16.152949 21.135104 27.760909 36.313292 48.260178
2025-11-09 8.303371 11.302639 15.260227 20.894990 28.762073 39.430286 55.119839
2025-11-16 7.309703 10.327915 14.469011 20.607441 29.547726 42.204948 61.679870
2025-11-23 6.475672 9.456102 13.689231 20.193086 30.029968 44.504912 67.701550
2025-11-30 6.140243 9.249342 13.811841 21.064118 32.434088 49.793507 78.719754
2025-12-07 5.715714 8.856108 13.603388 21.387001 33.997703 53.914501 88.317872
2025-12-14 5.266209 8.373673 13.201184 21.346031 34.949484 57.120133 96.722245
2025-12-21 4.842414 7.887561 12.740138 21.149110 35.599755 59.857160 104.578607
2025-12-28 4.659495 7.772599 12.860019 21.913169 37.918712 65.590497 118.248972
2026-01-04 4.451526 7.594011 12.852781 22.448596 39.875851 70.861650 131.634181
2026-01-11 4.292010 7.488494 12.966758 23.219078 42.351388 77.348114 148.126635
2026-01-18 3.927775 6.991873 12.356288 22.625381 42.261895 79.109837 155.725365
2026-01-25 3.644648 6.615492 11.925447 22.316990 42.666416 81.818653 165.469786
2026-02-01 3.397152 6.282832 11.544390 22.062726 43.140174 84.687611 175.834414
2026-02-08 3.166420 5.961997 11.157512 21.758242 43.476597 87.299275 185.927006
2026-02-15 2.940115 5.631048 10.723818 21.319508 43.492192 89.244340 194.775062
2026-02-22 2.893822 5.645383 10.956281 22.241820 46.407675 97.502598 218.559573
2026-03-01 2.783847 5.524192 10.910679 22.583741 48.120310 103.354532 237.541928
2026-03-08 2.641006 5.325201 10.692354 22.540355 48.988137 107.434842 252.840325
2026-03-15 2.492550 5.103193 10.409355 22.331822 49.466426 110.681909 266.503680
2026-03-22 2.451409 5.101930 10.584687 23.140968 52.321726 119.639467 295.301510